Only 36 Percent of People Can Solve This Simple ‘Three Hats’ Logic Problem

By | November 2, 2020

This logic test about a cat in a hat stumps most people— but will it confuse you?

According economics and math pro Presh Talwalkar of the YouTube channel Mind Your Decisions, a survey found only 36 percent of people could find the right answer to this seemingly simple problem.

It reads as follows:

“There are three hats, each with an accompanying statement.

Hat One: The cat is in this hat.

Hat Two: The cat is not in this hat.

Hat Three: The cat is not in Hat One.

Exactly one of the statements is true. Exactly one hat contains a cat. Which hat contains the cat?”

The answer options are: 1) Hat One; 2) Hat Two; 3) Hat Three; 4) None of the hats; or 5) Not enough information.

OK, so maybe this problem isn’t as simple as it seems. But thankfully, Talwalkar broke down how to solve the logic problem in a new YouTube video. So what is the correct answer?

Well, first, here’s how to solve the problem: You have to logically consider each case, assuming the cat is in each hat, then seeing if each statement applies to that case. If you end up with one true statement and two false statements, you have the correct cat-in-hat placement.

So, let’s assume the cat is in Hat One. Hat One’s statement is obviously true in this scenario. But if the cat is in Hat One, the cat would not be in Hat Two, making the second statement also true. This means the cat is not in Hat One because if it was, two statements would be true—and that clearly doesn’t satisfy the conditions of the problem.

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Well, what if we assume the cat is in Hat Three? Hat Three’s statement would then be true, while Hat One’s statement would be false. So far, so good for only one true statement in the bunch. But the issue comes when considering Hat Two’s statement: That the cat is not in Hat Two. That would also be true, assuming the cat were in Hat Three. With two true statements, this isn’t the right answer.

Spoiler Alert: The cat is in Hat Two—and here’s why. Assuming the cat is in Hat Two, the statement corresponding with that hat is false. In addition, the first statement is also false, as the cat is in Hat Two, not Hat One. The true statement then is Hat Three’s statement. The cat is not in Hat One. This answer satisfies the confusion conditions of the problem, putting the cat in Hat Two with the correct statement being that of Hat Three.

Trust me, watching the problem play out in Talwalkar’s video is helpful in understanding this complex logic test. The math pro says most people run into trouble assuming the cat must be in a hat where the statement is true. But that’s obviously not the case. The two need to be thought as independent conditions to solve the problem correctly.

All that being said, I’d personally just pick up each hat until I found my dang cat, but I guess that’s not as impressive.

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